Paul George OVER 19.5 Points

Paul George has historically smashed this line. This matchup is actually pretty good as well. Somehow the Milwaukee Bucks are fairly big favorites but I think it should be a close game where George plays big minutes. PrizePicks has his line set at 19.5 points and I’m liking this over for the reasons below.

(Shown above on Outlier), we can see that Paul George has hit this in 63% of his games. There was even a stretch earlier in the season we see in the middle of the screenshot where George hit this in 13-straight games. After that he dealt with some injuries and wasn’t playing his normal minutes.

Looking above on Outlier we can also see George’s minutes chart. We notice again that in this rough stretch where he was coming back from an injury he played 28 or less minutes in 6 of 8 games. Recently his minutes have been up in close games. in 4 of his last 5 games the contests have been competitive and he played 33 minutes or more in those games.

When George plays 31 minutes or more he has hit over 19.5 points in 73% of games so far this season. Pretty cool how easy that is to filter on Outlier. Recently he has been seeing tough matchups as well like Minnesota but this matchup vs Milwaukee should be a good one for him.

Surprisingly, the Clippers are pretty big underdogs to the Bucks. This game should stay close which means George should be in line for 31+ minutes. DraftKings gives us the spread at 4.5 points, one that I like the Clippers to cover.

For ALL of our picks from 5+ cappers use code WEB1 to get 15% off the monthly plan HERE

Data from Outlier. Get a FREE 7-Day Trial here