Tobias Harris UNDER 16.5 Points

Tobias Harris has averaged hasn’t come close to 17 points in his last four games. The Philadelphia 76ers have been really bad and now get one of their toughest matchups against the Boston Celtics. PrizePicks has his line set at 16.5 points but I’m liking the under tonight for the reasons below.

(Shown above on Outlier), we can see that Tobias Harris has hit over this in about half his games. You may think he is better without Joel Embiid in the lineup. On Outlier we can filter show games he has played without Embiid. Let’s look at it below

Looking above on Outlier we can see in 18 games this year without Embiid, Tobias Harris has hit over 16.5 points just 8 times. Also, in his last four games he has scored just 11, 7, 15, and 8. It’s been a brutal stretch for him and the 76ers and it shouldn’t get any easier in this game against the Boston Celtics.

Outlier, in the two screenshots above, shows the Boston Celtics’ defense. They have the fifth best defense allowing just over 110 points per game. Against power forwards like Tobias Harris they allow the least points in the league.

Above we can see Tobias Harris against the Celtics the past two years. He has played them 14 times and only has scored 17 or more in 5 games.

DraftKings gives us the spread at 12 points so it may not be that close of a game where Tobias Harris may not play his usual minutes.

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Data from Outlier. Get a FREE 7-Day Trial here