Nicholas Claxton OVER 13.5 Points + Assists

Nicholas Claxton has averaged over 29 minutes per game this year but he’s only played 29+ minutes in half the games so far. Recently he’s been playing a lot more, 32 and 30 minutes in his last two. PrizePicks has his line set at 13.5 points + assists.

(Shown above on Outlier), we can see that Nicholas Claxton doesn’t look great to hit this line as he’s hit it in just 43% of games. Let’s look below when he has played 29+ minutes though.

Looking above on Outlier we can see it has been a completely different story in half of the games where Nicholas Claxton has played at least 29 minutes. He’s hit this line in 70% of those games.

Outlier above shows on the left we can see the Memphis Grizzlies defense rankings. They rank highly defensively this season surprisingly. On the right though we can see that against centers they are much worse, ranking 18th in the league allowing 19 points per game to centers. Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged just 1.5 blocks this year and is now playing center. He’s had just 1 combined block in the past 3 games.

DraftKings gives us the spread at just 2 points so it should be a close game where Nicholas Claxton should play over 29 minutes like he has in his past two games.

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