Ausar Thompson OVER 10.5 Points + Assists

Ausar Thompson was barely playing in the beginning of the season but due to trades he is now playing a good amount after moves at the trade deadline. With minutes comes production and we like this play today a lot. On PrizePicks his line is set at 10.5 for points + assists.

(Shown above on Outlier), we can see that Ausar Thompson has hit this in just 45% of games so far this year. It doesn’t look good here but below we see his minutes chart over the entire year:

What do we notice above? Ausar Thompson has played 26 or more minutes in 8 of his last 9 games. He also had a stretch in the middle of the season where he was playing below 20 minutes pretty consistently. His very last game he was in foul trouble and played just 21 minutes.

This chart from Outlier above shows how many times Ausar Thompson has hit over 10.5 points + assists. He’s hit over this in 79% of those games, 23 of 29 games.

DraftKings gives us the spread at 11.5 points, so it could be a blowout but the Detroit Pistons have been playing better as of late and the New York Knicks are still banged up.

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Data from Outlier. Get a FREE 7-Day Trial here