Collin Sexton OVER 18.5 Points

Collin Sexton was barely playing in the beginning of the season, now he is their starting point guard who plays 27+ minutes in most games that are reasonably close. On PrizePicks his line is set at 18.5 points, something he has hit in 52% of games but let’s look into more data and stats about this line.

(Shown above on Outlier), we can see games where Collin Sexton has played 27+ minutes. He’s hit over this in 89% of those games. This includes 16/16 in his last 16 games where he’s played 27+ minutes.

In Collin Sexton’s last 20 games he has hit this in 75% of them, this includes games where the Jazz have been blown out. In 5 of these games he played 21 minutes or less. We project him for 27 minutes against the Golden State Warriors tonight.

DraftKings gives us the spread at 1.5 points, so expect this game between the Utah Jazz and Golden State Warriors to be close. The Warriors are also on a back-to-back and give up the 20th-most points in the NBA per game.

The Utah Jazz and Collin Sexton have been dealing with blowouts that have limited his scoring upside. In a projected close and high-scoring game at 240 points, Sexton should be in a good spot to hit this one.

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Data from Outlier. Get a FREE 7-Day Trial here