Domantas Sabonis UNDER 13.5 Rebounds

This is a really high line, even for Domantas Sabonis. He has been a monster on the boards but this matchup does not favor him, especially with Evan Mobley back.

Mobley and Jarrett Allen make for a tough frontcourt to rebound against. They combined for 26 rebounds last game and didn’t allow a single player in the three games before that to get double digit rebounds, including Jalen Duren who is averaging 11.8 rebounds and played more minutes than his season average.

The Cleveland Cavaliers allow the 7th least rebounds in the NBA.

This is a line that Sabonis has hit just 35% of the time this season. You will notice he has hit this in 3 of his last four games though. We can take advantage of that recency bias and expect him to play to his normal rate. Last year he hit over this 34% of the time so we have a good amount of data on this line. the Kings basically have the same team from last year as well.

PrizePicks also has a line up for Sabonis on his straight points and points+rebounds. His points line is at 18.5 but his points+rebounds is at 31.5. Do you notice something there? He could hit the 19 points and then only needs 13 rebounds, under his line of 13.5, to hit the combination. It’s an indication they don’t feel strong about the points or rebounds or it would be at 32.5.

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